tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Birmingham via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 15:41 TPA → 17:35 CLT
    AA 2915 · American · 1h 49m · 75% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 CLT → 21:33 BHM
    AA 5205 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 86% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 54mTPA 15:41 to BHM 21:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.