tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Las Vegas via Los Angeles: arrives on time 60%

  1. 08:30 MIA → 11:08 LAX
    AA 2917 · American · 5h 38m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:26 LAX → 13:45 LAS
    AA 2039 · American · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 15mMIA 08:30 to LAS 13:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.