tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 51%

  1. 06:00 SEA → 12:12 ORD
    AA 2922 · American · 4h 12m · 91% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 ORD → 16:25 DCA
    AA 1675 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 25mSEA 06:00 to DCA 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.