tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Wichita via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 SEA → 12:12 ORD
    AA 2922 · American · 4h 12m · 91% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:34 ORD → 17:46 ICT
    AA 3471 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 12m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip9h 46mSEA 06:00 to ICT 17:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.