tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:15 PHX → 19:29 CLT
    AA 2923 · American · 4h 14m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:02 CLT → 00:31 SDF +1 day
    AA 671 · American · 1h 30m · 73% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 168 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip9h 17mPHX 12:15 to SDF 00:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.