tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Rochester via Philadelphia: arrives on time 72%

  1. 15:19 ORD → 18:29 PHL
    AA 2925 · American · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 PHL → 23:41 ROC
    AA 6090 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rochester is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 176 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 22mORD 15:19 to ROC 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.