tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Aspen via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 73%

  1. 07:00 AUS → 08:20 DFW
    AA 2928 · American · 1h 20m · 82% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DFW → 12:21 ASE
    AA 4912 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Aspen is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 21mAUS 07:00 to ASE 12:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.