tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 61%

  1. 13:13 SBA → 14:50 PHX
    AA 2928 · American · 1h 36m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:38 PHX → 23:30 ORD
    AA 435 · American · 3h 52m · 65% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 17mSBA 13:13 to ORD 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.