tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 16:35 ILM → 18:52 DFW
    AA 2934 · American · 3h 16m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 23:56 MIA
    AA 2823 · American · 2h 51m · 41% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip7h 21mILM 16:35 to MIA 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.