tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:35 ILM → 18:52 DFW
    AA 2934 · American · 3h 16m · 62% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DFW → 22:32 ORD
    AA 3531 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 47m · 64% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Wilmington). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 57mILM 16:35 to ORD 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.