Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 41%
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08:18 SFO → 16:49 PHLAA 2941 · American · 5h 31m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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47m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:36 PHL → 18:55 BNAAA 5580 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 70% on time, 11.7% cancelled
Total trip 8h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (11.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 37mSFO 08:18 to BNA 18:55, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.