tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Atlanta via New York: arrives on time 29%

  1. 15:22 MIA → 18:29 LGA
    AA 2945 · American · 3h 07m · 48% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 LGA → 22:15 ATL
    AA 4599 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 64% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip6h 51mMIA 15:22 to ATL 22:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.