tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Charlotte via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 10%

  1. 17:38 PHL → 20:25 DFW
    AA 2947 · American · 3h 47m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:14 DFW → 00:53 CLT +1 day
    AA 2409 · American · 2h 39m · 33% on time, 7.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time10%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (7.9% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip7h 15mPHL 17:38 to CLT 00:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.