tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Appleton via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 00:59 LAS → 06:45 ORD
    AA 2949 · American · 3h 46m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:25 ORD → 11:43 ATW
    UA 4460 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 18m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 44mLAS 00:59 to ATW 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.