tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 00:59 LAS → 06:45 ORD
    AA 2949 · American · 3h 46m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 ORD → 11:44 TUL
    AA 4135 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 45mLAS 00:59 to TUL 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.