tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 00:59 LAS → 06:45 ORD
    AA 2949 · American · 3h 46m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 ORD → 12:48 RDU
    AA 4756 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 49mLAS 00:59 to RDU 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.