tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 00:59 LAS → 06:45 ORD
    AA 2949 · American · 3h 46m · 76% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 00mLAS 00:59 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.