tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 27%

  1. 18:23 RDU → 19:45 ORD
    AA 2949 · American · 2h 22m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:47 ORD → 22:53 LAS
    AA 3323 · American · 4h 08m · 58% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 32mRDU 18:23 to LAS 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.