tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Las Vegas via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 57%

  1. 07:09 PHL → 09:50 DFW
    AA 2964 · American · 3h 41m · 91% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:06 DFW → 11:54 LAS
    AA 3285 · American · 2h 48m · 65% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 45mPHL 07:09 to LAS 11:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.