tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 53%

  1. 07:09 PHL → 09:50 DFW
    AA 2964 · American · 3h 41m · 91% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:41 DFW → 12:44 STL
    AA 5655 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 03m · 70% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 35mPHL 07:09 to STL 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.