Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Valparaiso via Washington: arrives on time 39%

  1. 07:02 ORD → 10:03 DCA
    AA 2965 · American · 2h 01m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:57 DCA → 12:20 VPS
    AA 3224 · American · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 18mORD 07:02 to VPS 12:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.