tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Grand Rapids via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 08:05 PHL
    AA 2970 · American · 2h 05m · 90% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHL → 12:53 GRR
    AA 5614 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 84% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Grand Rapids is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 55mORD 05:00 to GRR 12:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.