tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Myrtle Beach via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 08:05 PHL
    AA 2970 · American · 2h 05m · 90% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 PHL → 10:54 MYR
    AA 5848 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 59m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Myrtle Beach is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 54mORD 05:00 to MYR 10:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.