tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Wilmington via Philadelphia: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:00 ORD → 08:05 PHL
    AA 2970 · American · 2h 05m · 90% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHL → 12:28 ILM
    AA 5978 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 48m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wilmington is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 28mORD 05:00 to ILM 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.