tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Long Beach via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:20 BNA → 16:04 PHX
    AA 2972 · American · 3h 44m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:15 PHX → 20:30 LGB
    WN 4352 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 59% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Long Beach is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip8h 10mBNA 14:20 to LGB 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.