tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:10 DFW → 20:53 PHL
    AA 2973 · American · 3h 43m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 PHL → 23:57 IND +1 day
    AA 1247 · American · 2h 02m · 66% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 52mDFW 16:10 to IND 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.