tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Birmingham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 48%

  1. 16:10 DFW → 20:53 PHL
    AA 2973 · American · 3h 43m · 62% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 PHL → 23:40 BHM
    AA 5402 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 35m · 75% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 30mDFW 16:10 to BHM 23:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.