tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 23:07 PDX → 05:07 ORD
    AA 2977 · American · 3h 59m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:36 ORD → 09:46 PHL +1 day
    AA 2115 · American · 2h 11m · 76% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 40mPDX 23:07 to PHL 09:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.