tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:14 DCA
    AA 2985 · American · 1h 13m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 DCA → 12:38 MIA
    AA 1173 · American · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 38mRDU 06:00 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.