tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Indianapolis via Washington: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 RDU → 07:14 DCA
    AA 2985 · American · 1h 13m · 85% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:59 DCA → 11:57 IND
    AA 4701 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 59m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 58mRDU 06:00 to IND 11:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.