tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Philadelphia via Phoenix: arrives on time 69%

  1. 15:31 PDX → 18:12 PHX
    AA 2986 · American · 2h 41m · 60% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:02 PHX → 05:35 PHL +1 day
    AA 1188 · American · 4h 33m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip11h 04mPDX 15:31 to PHL 05:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.