tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Dallas-Fort Worth via Tampa: arrives on time 17%

  1. 15:41 MIA → 16:53 TPA
    AA 2987 · American · 1h 12m · 49% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:56 TPA → 19:50 DFW
    AA 2813 · American · 2h 54m · 38% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 09mMIA 15:41 to DFW 19:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.