tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Columbus via Miami: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:33 TPA → 18:45 MIA
    AA 2987 · American · 1h 12m · 46% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 MIA → 22:39 CMH
    AA 3660 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 49m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 06mTPA 17:33 to CMH 22:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.