tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:10 DFW → 15:51 ORD
    AA 2988 · American · 2h 41m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ORD → 19:01 XNA
    AA 3846 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 69% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 51mDFW 13:10 to XNA 19:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.