tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Orlando via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:51 ORD → 19:28 DFW
    AA 2988 · American · 2h 37m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DFW → 00:21 MCO +1 day
    AA 1336 · American · 2h 46m · 52% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 30mORD 16:51 to MCO 00:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.