tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:51 ORD → 19:28 DFW
    AA 2988 · American · 2h 37m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:33 DFW → 21:37 AUS
    AA 2707 · American · 1h 04m · 55% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 46mORD 16:51 to AUS 21:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.