tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:51 ORD → 19:28 DFW
    AA 2988 · American · 2h 37m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:23 DFW → 21:54 SGF
    AA 4092 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 03mORD 16:51 to SGF 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.