tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Pensacola via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 18%

  1. 16:51 ORD → 19:28 DFW
    AA 2988 · American · 2h 37m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:22 DFW → 22:22 PNS
    AA 5510 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 00m · 50% on time, 7.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time18%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (7.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 31mORD 16:51 to PNS 22:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.