tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Washington via Phoenix: arrives on time 55%

  1. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:36 PHX → 19:59 DCA
    AA 1092 · American · 4h 23m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 09mDFW 10:50 to DCA 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.