tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Monterey via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:50 DFW → 11:19 PHX
    AA 2990 · American · 2h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:43 PHX → 15:38 MRY
    AA 6268 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 55m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Monterey is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 48mDFW 10:50 to MRY 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.