tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → Detroit via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 23:44 ANC → 06:22 PHX
    AA 2991 · American · 5h 38m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:56 PHX → 16:56 DTW +1 day
    AA 1790 · American · 3h 59m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 13h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 4 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip13h 11mANC 23:44 to DTW 16:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.