tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Santa Barbara via San Francisco: arrives on time 84%

  1. 13:15 DFW → 14:58 SFO
    AA 2997 · American · 3h 43m · 54% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:16 SFO → 19:43 SBA
    UA 5962 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Barbara is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 28mDFW 13:15 to SBA 19:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.