tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dallas-Fort Worth via Las Vegas: arrives on time 65%

  1. 18:05 PHL → 20:32 LAS
    AA 3005 · American · 5h 27m · 71% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 LAS → 04:44 DFW +1 day
    AA 3099 · American · 2h 45m · 74% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 11h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip11h 39mPHL 18:05 to DFW 04:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.