tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 55%

  1. 23:59 ONT → 05:00 DFW
    AA 3006 · American · 3h 01m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:00 DFW → 08:01 BNA +1 day
    AA 3912 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 02mONT 23:59 to BNA 08:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.