tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Little Rock via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:14 PHX → 11:00 ORD
    AA 3008 · American · 3h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:51 ORD → 13:54 LIT
    AA 3471 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Little Rock is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 40mPHX 05:14 to LIT 13:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.