tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 67%

  1. 05:00 PHX → 12:09 CLT
    AA 3009 · American · 4h 09m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:18 CLT → 14:17 RDU
    AA 2390 · American · 59m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 17mPHX 05:00 to RDU 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.