tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:00 PHX → 12:09 CLT
    AA 3009 · American · 4h 09m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 CLT → 14:50 PHL
    AA 2573 · American · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 50mPHX 05:00 to PHL 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.