tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:13 ATL → 19:25 PHX
    AA 3012 · American · 4h 12m · 45% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 PHX → 00:48 DFW +1 day
    AA 2603 · American · 2h 27m · 61% on time, 10.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 35mATL 18:13 to DFW 00:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.