tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 53%

  1. 15:40 PHL → 17:33 CLT
    AA 3012 · American · 1h 56m · 81% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 CLT → 22:20 DCA
    AA 527 · American · 1h 31m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip6h 40mPHL 15:40 to DCA 22:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.