tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Atlanta via Miami: arrives on time 39%

  1. 10:40 LAX → 19:00 MIA
    AA 3016 · American · 5h 20m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:04 MIA → 22:09 ATL
    AA 1045 · American · 2h 05m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip8h 29mLAX 10:40 to ATL 22:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.